Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.008292 0.009312 0.010430 0.011751 0.013273 0.014978 0.017039
2025-04-20 0.006613 0.007965 0.009576 0.011651 0.014277 0.017519 0.021868
2025-04-27 0.005887 0.007430 0.009374 0.012035 0.015631 0.020394 0.027300
2025-05-04 0.005243 0.006862 0.008993 0.012052 0.016412 0.022532 0.032004
2025-05-11 0.004779 0.006450 0.008734 0.012151 0.017256 0.024802 0.037195
2025-05-18 0.004339 0.006012 0.008370 0.012027 0.017718 0.026522 0.041774
2025-05-25 0.004036 0.005728 0.008185 0.012124 0.018496 0.028798 0.047595
2025-06-01 0.003726 0.005400 0.007894 0.012013 0.018910 0.030509 0.052707
2025-06-08 0.003391 0.005001 0.007454 0.011608 0.018773 0.031247 0.056142
2025-06-15 0.003196 0.004801 0.007303 0.011653 0.019395 0.033380 0.062591
2025-06-22 0.003101 0.004748 0.007377 0.012077 0.020728 0.036988 0.072674
2025-06-29 0.002892 0.004493 0.007096 0.011852 0.020840 0.038271 0.078085
2025-07-06 0.002676 0.004220 0.006779 0.011560 0.020845 0.039460 0.083816
2025-07-13 0.002517 0.004033 0.006596 0.011500 0.021308 0.041686 0.092553
2025-07-20 0.002443 0.003984 0.006645 0.011876 0.022686 0.046077 0.107672
2025-07-27 0.002322 0.003842 0.006517 0.011893 0.023319 0.048923 0.119569
2025-08-03 0.002224 0.003732 0.006435 0.011990 0.024135 0.052326 0.133927
2025-08-10 0.002105 0.003576 0.006255 0.011868 0.024445 0.054563 0.145561
2025-08-17 0.002023 0.003482 0.006184 0.011964 0.025261 0.058205 0.162549
2025-08-24 0.001923 0.003348 0.006025 0.011855 0.025583 0.060628 0.176422
2025-08-31 0.001799 0.003159 0.005744 0.011455 0.025155 0.060981 0.183490
2025-09-07 0.001732 0.003076 0.005668 0.011499 0.025827 0.064484 0.202777
2025-09-14 0.001707 0.003073 0.005754 0.011918 0.027503 0.071186 0.236405